Beginning tonight at 8 ET on Fox, the ninth season of
American Idol begins with a notable absence: from now on, no more Paula Abdul. What Fox announced yesterday, though, was a coming change of much more significant proportions: Simon Cowell will be leaving after this season, and launching his own talent-search series, an American variant of his British hit,
The X Factor, in fall 2011.
And just like the latest Leno shuffle, this move has major TV implications...
The smaller question is, will Cowell be able to make lightning strike twice? He'll be a judge on Fox's X Factor, just as he continues to be on the British version. So my guess is yes. In the right time slot, Cowell will continue to be a draw.
The big question here, though, is how will American Idol fare in a post-Simon configuration? And there, the prognosis is less sunny, even for a TV show that, right now, is the medium's biggest entertainment juggernaut.
The addition of Ellen DeGeneres this season, replacing Abdul, is tricky enough. (She shows up around Hollywood week.) It'll be interesting to see how that plays out, and how DeGeneres fine-tunes her judging persona (too many jokes? too nice? too acerbic?). One advantage she has now, that she didn't have until yesterday, is that Simon Cowell now has lame-duck status. She can swing away, confident that she'll be there after he's gone.
But what about the quality of the judging -- and, thus, the show? Kara DioGuardi has added nothing to the show, except for a tendency to amplify her own generalized remarks. I've watched every edition of American Idol, and the post-performance evaluations, for years, have been a distracting exercise in waiting to hear what, to quote the old children's game, Simon Says.
Randy Jackson: "Blahblah pitchy, blahblah dawg, blahblah justawrightforme blahblah keepingitreal."
Kara DioGuardi: "Blahblah wrongsongchoice blahblah superstar blahblah goosebumps."
Paula Abdul: "Blahblah Neptune blahblah Pluto blahblah Uranus."
Simon Cowelll: "To be honest, that was atrocious."
With Simon gone, there's no THERE there. He needs to be replaced by someone with heft and credibility, someone who can criticize without alienating the audience. If the American Idol producers choose the wrong replacement, that's how, and when, this prime-time juggernaut willl stop.
Meanwhile, this 2010 season gets the added publicity jolt of it being DeGeneres' first season AND Cowell's last. So don't worry about American Idol in 2010.
Worry about it it 2011...
By the way, occasional TV WORTH WATCHING contributor Bill Brioux, who's out on press tour, filed a wonderful report on the Fox announcement of Simon Cowell's X Factor. It appeared on Brioux's own entertaining blog, TV FEEDS MY FAMILY, and you can read his Cowell entry by clicking HERE.
And a while back, Brioux also wrote a wonderful piece about my Dangerously Funny book, which I'm proud to offer a link to also. Read it HERE. It's so well-written, and so flattering, I should have posted it a lot sooner.
Thanks, Bill. Hang in there on press tour. Sorry I missed the "24" ball caps...